FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Breakdown

FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Breakdown

This article is part of our FanDuel MLB series.

12 games are on the docket for Tuesday's main slate. Weather looks stable as of Tuesday morning, so we should be all systems go.

Pitching

It's a tough slate to navigate on the mound. Blake Snell ($12,000) and Domingo German ($9,300) lead the way as I get started writing Monday evening, but neither are sure to start, with Snell still recovering from a toe injury and German potentially having his start moved back a day to Wednesday [ED. NOTE: the Yankees have since confirmed German will be starting Tuesday]. Ryne Stanek ($5,500) will fill in for Snell, and Jonathan Loaisiga ($5,900) for German, with the former having no chance of working past the second, and the latter isn't likely to have a high pitch count either.

Dodgers-Cubs looks like a popular spot to pivot to, with a potential pitchers duel emerging between Kenta Maeda ($8,700) and Jose Quintana ($8,300). Both offenses pose risk, but both arms have three 30+ FDP outings in four starts. LAD strike out 25.2 percent of the time against lefties, and the Cubs have only a .174 ISO against righties. 

Pittsburgh-Arizona has a low 7.5 total, putting both Trevor Williams ($8,000) and Luke Weaver ($7,400) in play. Williams has limited upside, having not gone more than 6.1 innings in any of his four starts, and his season high in strikeouts is just six, but he's turned in four straight quality starts and faces a D-backs lineup that has just a 96 wRC+ against righties. Weaver looks like a far better bet for GPPs. He's in a nice groove right now, fanning 17 in his last two starts, a span of 11.1 innings. The Pirates are striking out only 20.4 percent of the time, but come with only a .301 wOBA, 86 wRC+ and .152 ISO against righties.

I'd stay clear of Patrick Corbin ($8,400) at Coors Field, where he's been tagged for 22 runs over 26.1 innings over the past three seasons. And while I like Frankie Montas ($8,400) some and he does get the Rangers on the road, Texas ranks fifth with a .351 wOBA against righties. Wade Miley ($6,300) is in play if you're a win chaser, and potentially Ivan Nova ($6,500) as well.

Seattle's Erik Swanson ($6,800) is in an intriguing spot for GPPs, if you want to spend up on bats. The game comes with a moderate eight run total, and Swanson allowed only two hits and struck out five over six frames in his last outing against Cleveland. He'll face a Padres side that has just a .288 wOBA, 78 wRC+ and a 26.7 percent fan rate against righties. His adversary, Nick Margevicius ($7,300) has an uphill battle against the Mariners top-ranked offense against lefties (.414 wOBA, .328 ISO), which could give Swanson some run support and a better winning chance than the line suggests, with Seattle being slight underdogs at plus-115.

Key Value/Chalk

As is normally the case, with Coors Field available, you'll rightfully pay a premium for Rockies and Nationals. We touched on Corbin's struggles in Denver above, and because of his time in the NL West, we've got larger than normal BvP numbers to draw upon. Nolan Arenado ($4,600) is warming, homering four times in his last seven games. He has a .557 wOBA, 228 wRC+ and .468 ISO at home against lefties since the start of last year, and is 12-for-41 with six XBH against Corbin. Colorado has yet to announce a starter, so specific Nats targets are a little up in the air, but grabbing a few secondary options seems prudent. The Rockies' bullpen is taxed following Monday and they look likely to be going with a committee approach here.

With a total equal to Rockies-Nats (10), the White Sox-Orioles game is one to snag a few shares of. Tim Anderson ($4,400) and Yoan Moncada ($4,200) rightfully lead the way, with Anderson owning a .459 wOBA and .283 ISO, and Moncada following with .422/.339. Welington Castillo ($2,700) could be a sneaky buy in. He didn't catch Monday, indicating he'll start tonight, and despite a .158 average, he owns a .455 wOBA against righties in 30 plate appearances thanks to a 23.3 percent walk rate. He's homered twice in his last four starts. The O's side is less top heavy, with Jonathan Villar ($3,500) and Renato Nunez ($3,300) seemingly having the safest floors when matched with price.

The usual suspects for Houston -- George Springer ($4,700), Jose Altuve ($4,600) -- are in play against Michael Pineda ($7,700) 

Finally, I'd keep an eye on Game 1 of Boston-Detroit this afternoon. Chris Sale is throwing for Boston, and if he struggles again and forces the bullpen to throw a lot of innings, Detroit could face a shortened 'pen in Game 2 and offer some value.

Stacks

Red Sox vs. Spencer Turnbull (Tigers)

Mookie Betts (OF - $3,900), Andrew Benintendi (OF - $3,900), Mitch Moreland (1B - $3,400) 

Turnbull is no pushover, fanning 24 in his first 21 frames, and I know the Sox bats are colder than usual. Heck, the doubleheader adds to the questions, as no one is guaranteed to play in both games. But Betts at a sub-4k price? Despite his relative struggles, he owns a .399 wOBA and .286 ISO. We can surround him with two lefties, whom Turnbull is allowing a .351 wOBA to, while both of his homers allowed have come to opposite-handed bats.

Yankees vs. Chris Stratton (Angels)

Brett Gardner (OF - $4,100), Mike Tauchman (OF - $3,500), Austin Romine (C - $2,300)

The MASH-unit Yankees make for a great cost-savings stack against Stratton, who has allowed 14 runs and 23 hits across 18.0 innings. He's been particularly bad against lefties (.410 wOBA), making Gardner and Tauchman a little more appealing than Clint Frazier ($4,200). Romine brings in the real savings, and should start after resting Monday. He's got five hits and four RBI in his last two, and has gone for at least 6.2 FDP in five of his last six, which works at this price. I wouldn't be against any cheap Yankees, and Gio Urshela ($2,500) or Mike Ford ($2,500) are upside picks that allow you to afford more Astros or Rockies.

Mariners vs. Nick Margevicius (Padres)

Mitch Haniger (OF - $4,400), Edwin Encarnacion (1B - $3,700), Tim Beckham (SS - $3,400)

I alluded to the Mariners' success against lefties, and these three lead the way. Don't overthink this. Haniger has a .605 wOBA, 299 wRC+ and .417 ISO, while Encarnacion goes .570/276/.600 and Beckham .707/369/.636. 

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Chris Bennett plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: k30kittles, DraftKings: k30kittles.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Chris Bennett
Bennett covers baseball, college football and college basketball for RotoWire. Before turning to fantasy writing, he worked in scouting/player development for the Atlanta Braves and Montreal Expos. He's also a fan of the ACC.
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