The Z Files: Stealing Points
The Z Files: Stealing Points

This article is part of our The Z Files series.

While the record-setting home run pace continues to dominate the headlines, the dearth of steals is just as relevant with respect to fantasy baseball. Due to the stolen base category being more tightly bunched, it doesn't require as many bags to gain rotisserie points. In addition, the top teams are likely within range, whereas in previous years they were so far ahead it wasn't an efficient use of resources to try and chase them down.

Of course, the caveat is there are fewer sources of stolen bases, especially those capable of making a significant difference. In addition, with more runs scored via the long ball, homers have even more of an influence on the runs and RBI category.

As always, it comes down to your team's position in each category and balancing the points available in steals versus those possibly lost chasing them. Today, we're going to present information to assist in your approach towards steals for the remainder of the season.

Team Tendencies

Based on research I conducted a few years ago for our friends at BaseballHQ, teams tend to attempt steals in accordance with their success rate. That is, teams with a high success rate run more, while those getting caught often decrease the frequency of their attempts. The correlation isn't usually overwhelming, but it's sufficient to help find teams to target and avoid. That said, with the paucity of pilfers this season, the data is even more variable since one player can have an even greater impact.

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Todd Zola
Todd has been writing about fantasy baseball since 1997. He won NL Tout Wars and Mixed LABR in 2016 as well as a multi-time league winner in the National Fantasy Baseball Championship. Todd is now setting his sights even higher: The Rotowire Staff League. Lord Zola, as he's known in the industry, won the 2013 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Article of the Year award and was named the 2017 FSWA Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year. Todd is a five-time FSWA awards finalist.
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