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The Z Files: New Beginnings
Todd Zola looks at starting pitchers he may have underestimated coming into the season, including a trio of Cubs and Atlanta's Max Fried.
The Z Files: It's Early, But ...
8 days ago
Todd Zola recommends not putting too much emphasis on early-season data but notes that, unlike Aaron Judge, many batters aren't making contact with their usual authority so far.
The Z Files: Last Minute Draft and FAAB Advice
25 days ago
Todd Zola looks at some wrinkles in the 2020 schedule and thinks the regional alignment will allow Phillies like Bryce Harper to add extra value on the basepaths.
The Z Files: The Schedule's Effect on Player Expectations
35 days ago
Todd Zola looks at the potential impact of MLB's new schedule and thinks a number of Atlanta hitters could benefit, including Ozzie Albies.
The Z Files: Monitoring National League Camps
41 days ago
Todd Zola indicates what he'll be looking for in terms of news out of NL summer camps, where Dylan Carlson is one of a number of promising prospects with uncertain debut dates.
The Z Files: Monitoring American League Camps
43 days ago
Todd Zola previews the current state of American League rosters and notes that Aaron Judge and the formidable Yankees offense should be fully healthy for Opening Day.
The Z Files: Lessons Learned
55 days ago
Todd Zola recaps the findings from his Winning Tendencies series and notes that multi-position players like Ketel Marte don't gain significant value in leagues with restrictive roster rules.
The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Six
65 days ago
Todd Zola breaks down roster management trends from last season's NFBC Main Event and notes that Lucas Giolito became a poster boy for exercising patience.
The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Five
70 days ago
Todd Zola examines how roster construction impacted last year's NFBC Main Event and finds that a lot of teams squandered the advantage Ronald Acuna's steals provided.
The Z Files: How the Universal DH Affects Pitchers
77 days ago
Todd Zola looks at the potential impact of a universal designated hitter and suggests it may not be great news for top NL pitchers like Stephen Strasburg.
The Z Files: A Case Study on Roster Construction
80 days ago
Todd Zola uses a pair of retro drafts for the 1999 season to illustrate how getting the most raw value, such as by landing consensus top pick Pedro Martinez, doesn't necessarily lead to success.
The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Four
90 days ago
Todd Zola continues his breakdown of last year's NFBC Main Event rosters and explains why he thinks Christian Yelich showed up on so few league-winning squads.
The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Three
93 days ago
Todd Zola continues his dive into NFBC Main Event data and finds that remarkably few of last year's successful squads invested early in a top closer like Kenley Jansen.
The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Two
98 days ago
Todd Zola dives deeper into last year's NFBC Main Event draft data and finds a strong case for DJ LeMahieu as the 2019 fantasy MVP.
The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part One
102 days ago
Todd Zola dives into the data from last year's NFBC Main Event leagues and discovers that over-investing in specialists like Edwin Diaz can produce a risky path to a championship.
The Z Files: Anticipating the New Fantasy Environment
108 days ago
Todd Zola considers the impact a modified MLB schedule could have on player performance and fantasy value, and explains why securing an elite closer like Kirby Yates could be crucial.
The Z Files: Neutralizing Park Factors
116 days ago
Todd Zola adjusts the numbers to consider games being played in neutral venues and finds a surprising potential impact on Nationals hitters such as Juan Soto.
The Z Files: Tips for Best Ball Leagues
125 days ago
Todd Zola offers some pointers for best ball formats and explains why J.T. Realmuto has been the only catcher he's prioritized drafting.
The Z Files: The Effect of Temperature on Park Factors
129 days ago
Todd Zola considers the impact of cold weather on home run rates and run scoring and wonders if Jacob deGrom will miss pitching at Citi Field in April.
The Z Files: Flattening the Valuation Curve
140 days ago
Todd Zola considers the impact of a shortened schedule on player valuation and thinks elite pitchers like Gerrit Cole might not take a hit even without the same advantage in innings volume.
The Z Files: Online Auction Tips
148 days ago
Todd Zola offers timely advice on how to run and participate in online auctions and warns that not all draft rooms handle multi-position players like Brian Anderson the same way.
The Z Files: Fallacies of Keeper League Inflation
155 days ago
Todd Zola concludes his review of valuation theory with a look at inflation in keeper leagues, and why it could be a waste of time to calculate the "correct" inflated salary for studs like Ronald Acuna.
The Z Files: The Flaws with Auction Pricing
159 days ago
Todd Zola turns his attention to how projected auction prices can be skewed and explains why it's OK to pay a few extra dollars for an elite option like Jacob deGrom.
The Z Files: Pitching In to Get an Edge
170 days ago
Todd Zola takes a look at the kinds of pitchers unduly penalized by standard valuation systems, including hurlers like Domingo German who are set to miss significant time.
The Z Files: Minding the Gaps
175 days ago
Todd Zola breaks down how to properly value players likely to miss time as well as the multi-position players who can help optimize your roster moves, such as Jeff McNeil.
The Z Files: Flaws and Limitations of Valuation Theory
183 days ago
Todd Zola digs into the common methods for projecting value in fantasy baseball and explains why specialists like Mallex Smith may not have their true worth captured.
The Z Files: Applying Component Average Exit Velocity
189 days ago
Todd Zola looks at some players with noteworthy component exit velocities last year, such as Keston Hiura, and uses that data to project a more realistic BABIP for them in 2020.
The Z Files: The Relationship Between HR and Flyball Average Exit Velocity
197 days ago
Todd Zola takes a deep dive into average exit velocity on flyballs and discovers that Gio Urshela's power display last year may not have been fueled by luck after all.
The Z Files: Is Average Exit Velocity on Groundballs Useful?
204 days ago
Todd Zola dives into the weeds on how the average exit velocity on groundballs impacts BABIP while also looking at other factors, such as the elite sprint speed of players like Trea Turner.
The Z Files: The Do's and Don'ts of ADP
211 days ago
Todd Zola examines the best ways to apply ADP to your own draft and advises you to keep league context in mind when considering the high price tag on top prospects like Luis Robert.