Luis Severino
30-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
3-2
ERA
3.52
WHIP
1.17
K
54
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Hopes were high for Severino as he was another year removed from Tommy John surgery and he pitched very well in 2022, albeit only 89.1 innings after losing over two months with a lat injury. Things got off to an ominous start as he was felled by another lat injury in the spring. For the second time in a year, what was expected to be a quick recovery lingered, delaying Severino's 2023 debut until late May. He pitched well initially, but then things fell apart. On several occasions, Severino's starting role was in jeopardy, but the Yankees were forced to keep him in their injury-depleted rotation. His season mercifully ended in early September with a high-grade oblique strain. Severino's 6.65 ERA was pegged as unlucky by the associated 4.83 xFIP and 4.78 SIERA but the estimators are still well above league average. Severino's velocity was at his usual level, but his changeup wasn't nearly as effective, allowing batters to sit on, and crush his four-seam fastball. This seems correctable, but durability remains an issue. He signed with the Mets on a one-year, $13 million deal, which is about as good of a landing spot as fantasy managers could have hoped for. New York is a competitive team with a spacious home park and both he and the team will be highly incentivized to make this season a success. Read Past Outlooks
Wins with shaky outing
Severino (3-2) allowed five runs (four earned) on six hits and a walk over 5.1 innings Friday, striking out four and earning a win over Arizona.
ANALYSIS
Severino got off to a rough start, coughing up three runs in the first inning. He gave up one more over the next four frames before Eugenio Suarez knocked him out of the game with a solo shot in the sixth inning. Severino still earned his first win since April 17 in the chaotic 10-9 contest. He ends May with a subpar 4.91 ERA and 23:16 K:BB through 29 frames. Severino will carry a 3.52 ERA into his next start, which is lined up to be in Washington.
Severino got off to a rough start, coughing up three runs in the first inning. He gave up one more over the next four frames before Eugenio Suarez knocked him out of the game with a solo shot in the sixth inning. Severino still earned his first win since April 17 in the chaotic 10-9 contest. He ends May with a subpar 4.91 ERA and 23:16 K:BB through 29 frames. Severino will carry a 3.52 ERA into his next start, which is lined up to be in Washington.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
96
Last 10 Games
96
Last 5 Games
97
How many pitches does Luis Severino generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Luis Severino generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-29%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .262 | 90 | 38 | 119 | 21 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .217 | 155 | 53 | 114 | 21 | |||
2024vs Left | .241 | 22 | 11 | 26 | 2 | |||
2024vs Right | .172 | 32 | 16 | 22 | 3 | |||
2023vs Left | .333 | 34 | 17 | 61 | 11 | |||
2023vs Right | .271 | 45 | 17 | 52 | 12 | |||
2022vs Left | .196 | 34 | 10 | 32 | 8 | |||
2022vs Right | .195 | 78 | 20 | 40 | 6 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-37%
ERA at Home
2024
-49%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.50 | 1.16 | 133.2 | 8.8 | 2.9 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 5.55 | 1.39 | 121.2 | 8.5 | 3.6 | ||||
2024Home | 2.61 | 1.11 | 41.1 | 7.2 | 3.5 | ||||
2024Away | 5.16 | 1.28 | 22.2 | 8.3 | 4.4 | ||||
2023Home | 4.87 | 1.33 | 40.2 | 7.5 | 3.1 | ||||
2023Away | 8.14 | 1.91 | 48.2 | 8.3 | 3.7 | ||||
2022Home | 3.14 | 1.06 | 51.2 | 11.0 | 2.3 | ||||
2022Away | 3.22 | 0.93 | 50.1 | 8.8 | 3.0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Luis Severino compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.00K/9
7.6BB/9
3.8HR/9
0.7Fastball
95.9 mphERA
3.52WHIP
1.17BABIP
.254GB/FB
1.60Left On Base
64.7%Exit Velocity
81.1 mphBarrels/BBE
2.7%Spin Rate
2171 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
21.1%Swinging Strike
9.5%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Potential trade candidate
Severino could be moved by the Mets this summer if the club is unable to improve upon its 23-33 record, reports Will Sammon of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Coming off a disappointing 2023 campaign during which he posted a 6.65 ERA in 19 outings, Severino joined the Mets on a one-year, $13 million contract and has been a bright spot on a struggling team in 2024. The veteran right-hander has a 3.22 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 50:26 K:BB across 58.2 innings, and the expiring contract makes him a strong candidate to be traded. Severino's largest workload over the past six years was his 102 frames in 2022, so potential trade suitors could have some reservations about sustainability in the second half.
Coming off a disappointing 2023 campaign during which he posted a 6.65 ERA in 19 outings, Severino joined the Mets on a one-year, $13 million contract and has been a bright spot on a struggling team in 2024. The veteran right-hander has a 3.22 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 50:26 K:BB across 58.2 innings, and the expiring contract makes him a strong candidate to be traded. Severino's largest workload over the past six years was his 102 frames in 2022, so potential trade suitors could have some reservations about sustainability in the second half.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Severino experienced arm soreness so the Yankees initially took it easy on the Tommy John recoveree, but it wasn't long before Severino was up to speed. He posted a 3.45 ERA and 1.07 WHIP with 95 punchouts in 86 innings through July 13, but then a lat injury sent Severino to the 60-day IL. He returned for three starts in September, registering a 1.69 ERA and .63 WHIP with 17 strikeouts in 16 frames. Including rehab and playoffs, Severino logged 123.1 innings, so he shouldn't be under too much of a restriction, likely nothing more than a few maintenance days. Severino's 27.7% strikeout rate was lower than pre-TJS while his 7.4% walk rate was a little high, as was his home run rate. His 96.3-mph fastball was down a tick, but when he came back in September, Severino was throwing 97-98 mph. There is risk, but Severino can post SP1 numbers, albeit with fewer innings, drafted much later than the staff anchors.
More Fantasy News
Strong outing wasted
Severino came away with a no-decision in Saturday's 7-2 extra-inning loss to the Giants, allowing one run on two hits and three walks over seven innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Charged with five runs
Severino didn't factor into the decision Saturday in Miami, allowing five runs on six hits and three walks over 6.2 frames. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Settles for no-decision Sunday
Severino did not factor into the decision in Sunday's 4-3 win over Atlanta. He allowed two runs on four hits and three walks while striking out four over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Issues six walks
Severino didn't factor into the decision Sunday, allowing four runs on four hits with six walks across five innings against the Rays. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Shuts down Cubs
Severino didn't factor into the decision Monday, allowing one run on one hit and two walks over eight innings against the Cubs. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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