Odubel Herrera
Odubel Herrera
28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Philadelphia Phillies
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Herrera cost himself most of the season after violating the league's domestic violence policy in mid-May. While the victim declined to press charges, the league suspended him for the remainder of the season without pay. Even before that punishment was finalized, the Phillies were making moves as if they'd moved on from Herrera, indicating that they had no desire to bring him back in 2020 due to his actions. Indeed they DFA'd Herrera in January. He'd been performing as a very expendable player prior to the incident, hitting just .222/.288/.341. The 28-year-old's career .276/.333/.423 slash line (102 wRC+) is perfectly adequate for a starting center fielder, but that may no longer reflect his abilities. He hasn't recorded an above-average slash line since 2016 and hasn't graded out as a positive defensively by either DRS or UZR since 2017. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#601
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$Signed a five-year, $30.5 million contract extension with the Phililes in December of 2016. Contract includes $11.5 million team option ($2.5 million buyout) for 2022 and $12.5 million team option ($1 million buyout) for 2023.
Role uncertain
OFPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
May 31, 2020
Herrera's role for the upcoming season remains unclear, Meghan Montemurro of The Athletic Philadelphia reports.
ANALYSIS
Herrera was designated for assignment in mid-January after missing most of 2019 due to a suspension for a violation of the league's domestic violence policy. He's still a member of the organization and is owed $19.5 million going forward, though it's unclear whether or not the Phillies have any desire to see him wear red pinstripes again at any point in his career. His status is made even less clear by the fact that details surrounding the minor leagues and a potential taxi squad for the shortened season remain murky.
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Batting Stats
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2017
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .716 165 16 4 27 2 .287 .315 .401
Since 2018vs Right .710 571 60 19 60 5 .237 .304 .407
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left .589 26 1 0 5 0 .280 .269 .320
2019vs Right .639 113 11 1 11 2 .208 .292 .347
2018vs Left .740 139 15 4 22 2 .288 .324 .417
2018vs Right .727 458 49 18 49 3 .244 .306 .421
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
+33%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .709 351 40 14 46 4 .241 .300 .409
Since 2018Away .713 385 36 9 41 3 .256 .312 .402
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home .538 69 3 1 6 1 .197 .275 .262
2019Away .715 70 9 0 10 1 .246 .300 .415
2018Home .750 282 37 13 40 3 .251 .306 .444
2018Away .713 315 27 9 31 2 .258 .314 .399
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Odubel Herrera
The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Four
127 days ago
Todd Zola continues his breakdown of last year's NFBC Main Event rosters and explains why he thinks Christian Yelich showed up on so few league-winning squads.
Games Played By Position: 2020 Eligibility Notes
340 days ago
Clay Link looks at appearances by position and makes note of multi-position eligibility and lost eligibility for 2020.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
June 23, 2019
With Rich Hill on the shelf indefinitely, Jan Levine sees Ross Stripling as the main beneficiary - provided he can pitch like he did for most of 2018.
Regan's Rumblings: The All-Surprise Team
June 18, 2019
Dave Regan offers his take on players who are trending toward new heights this season, like Scott Kingery, who’s hitting .344/.385/.564 with eight home runs.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
June 16, 2019
He may not be hitting too well of late, but Jan Levine thinks Chris Taylor can turn it around if the Dodgers provide him sufficient playing time.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Herrera hit a career-high 22 homers in 2018, but his season was largely a disappointment. He hit just .255/.310/.420, good for a career-low 97 wRC+, and stole just five bases. It wasn't a completely lost season, but there are reasons to be concerned for the future. He slipped down in the order as the season wore on and also lost playing time to Roman Quinn. Quinn could continue to steal at-bats going forward, or the Phillies could spend money on a big outfield bat. Herrera is still too good to be reduced to a fourth-outfielder role, but he could be something less than an everyday player and remain in the bottom half of the order unless he can get back to his previous form. A reversal of his 55-point BABIP drop could turn things around for Herrera, though it's possible that his .290 BABIP is his new normal as he increased his pull rate by eight points, leaving him vulnerable to shifts, against which he hit just .230 after posting a .345 mark in 2017.
Since hitting the majors in 2015, Herrera has supplied OPS marks between .765 and .781, but he's been far from the consistent producer that narrow range implies. The outfielder was especially prone to hot and cold spells in 2017, turning in a .256/.292/.393 first-half slash line before rallying with a .323/.378/.551 line after the break. Even amid his big second half, Herrera didn't draw walks at the clip he had a season earlier, resulting in him finishing with a .325 OBP that partially explains his stark downturn in steals. Herrera was able to save face by hitting balls harder and in the air more frequently than ever, but it translated to a huge spike in doubles rather than more home runs. With the Phillies dismissing Pete Mackanin -- who had frequently voiced his displeasure with Herrera's baserunning -- the 26-year-old could resurface as both a power and speed threat, but be prepared to endure crests and troughs with any production he offers.
Herrera entered camp last season with the starting center field job locked down after an impressive rookie season as a Rule 5 pick in 2015. He was an on-base machine early on, walking 22 percent of the time in April and continuing at a solid clip in May and June before seemingly abandoning his newfound patience in July when he walked just 5.9 percent of the time. Herrera also struggled against lefties last season, hitting just .236 with a .599 OPS in 144 at-bats after hitting .293 with a .720 OPS against southpaws in 2015. The downturn is primarily BABIP driven as Herrera had a .402 BABIP against lefties in 2015 and a .321 BABIP in 2016. Despite those warts, Herrera has plenty of fantasy value thanks to his blend of power and speed. If he can rediscover his approach from the first half of 2016, he can be an across the board asset, as he should be hitting in the top third of the lineup. He inked a team-friendly five-year, $30.5 million extension this offseason, ensuring a regular role going forward.
Herrera turned out to be a steal for the Phillies as a Rule 5 pick from the Rangers last offseason. He had never played above Double-A prior to last season, but Phillies scouts had liked what they saw from him in winter ball. He hit .297 with eight home runs and 16 stolen bases while learning the finer points of playing center field in the majors, after having spent the majority of his time at second base throughout his minor league career. His batting average may be a bit of a mirage as his .388 BABIP is likely unsustainable, and his 24.0% strikeout rate is too high for a player whose game should be more focused on getting on base than driving the ball out of the park. Despite those issues, Herrera is an attractive target for stolen bases. He figures to see more at-bats this season and his coaches will no doubt work with him on deciding when to run, which should cut down on his caught stealing totals. His upside is 30 steals if everything comes together.
Herrera was taken by the Phillies from the Rangers during the Rule 5 draft in December. A 23-year-old utility type, most of his opportunities would likely come at second base or in center field, while the Phillies' lack of depth in the outfield could open up playing time if he proves capable of making the leap from Double-A to the big leagues. As a 22-year-old last season, Herrera hit .321/.373/.402 with 12 stolen bases over 96 games with Frisco, but he'd likely begin in the bottom third of the order if he pushed his way into a more prominent role for the Phillies. Herrera earned MVP honors in the Venezuelan Winter League as well, hitting .372 with six home runs and eight steals over 58 games for La Guaira.
More Fantasy News
Outrighted to Triple-A
OFPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
January 16, 2020
Herrera cleared waivers and was outrighted to Triple-A Lehigh Valley on Thursday, Scott Lauber of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
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Designated for assignment
OFPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
January 14, 2020
Herrera was designated for assignment by the Phillies on Tuesday.
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Finished with suspension
OFPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
November 1, 2019
Herrera was activated from the restricted list Thursday, Meghan Montemurro of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Suspended for remainder of season
OFPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
Suspension
July 5, 2019
Herrera was suspended without pay for the remainder of the season Friday for violating the league's domestic violence policy, Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Has charges dropped
OFPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
Not Injury Related
July 3, 2019
Herrera is no longer facing assault charges stemming from his May 17 arrest in New Jersey after his girlfriend declined to press charges during a court appearance Wednesday in Atlantic City, Amy S. Rosenberg of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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