Julio Urias
Julio Urias
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Los Angeles Dodgers
2020 Fantasy Outlook
The shine of Urias' prospect status has faded, both due to results and his domestic battery situation that led to a suspension last season. He pitched just shy of 80 innings last year, most of them in relief with decent results in a hybrid role, but far from the expectations of him as he rapidly ascended from the minor leagues. The 79.1 innings marked the third-highest total of his pro career, so it is tough to picture him spending a full season in the rotation coming on the heels of an injury in 2018 and his usage in 2019. Still just 23, he has the repertoire to be a quality starting pitcher, but he needs to start building up his innings this year to shed the durability question marks. In 123 career MLB innings as a starter, he has a 3.66 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 125:49 K:BB. That's a pretty fair projection, both the good and the bad, for what will hopefully be his first 100-plus inning season in the majors. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#107
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $1 million contract with the Dodgers in January of 2020.
Dominates from bullpen
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 27, 2020
Urias pitched 2.1 innings of flawless work Tuesday, fanning four and earning the save in a win over the Rays in Game 6 of the World Series.
ANALYSIS
Urias came into the game with two outs in the seventh inning with a runner on first and proceeded to immediately fan Yandy Diaz. The southpaw allowed three earned runs in 23 innings of work and was so impressive starting and out of the bullpen that he was in the World Series MVP discussion. The 24-year-old was the youngest player to record a save in a World Series clinching game since 1981.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
73
Last 10 Games
70
Last 5 Games
63
How many pitches does Julio Urias generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Julio Urias generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-45%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .174 176 48 16 27 7 2 5
Since 2018vs Right .219 387 89 29 78 9 1 7
2020vs Left .137 56 14 4 7 2 0 2
2020vs Right .247 168 31 14 38 5 0 3
2019vs Left .198 117 33 12 20 5 2 3
2019vs Right .203 209 52 15 39 4 1 4
2018vs Left .000 3 1 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right .100 10 6 0 1 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-5%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-44%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-39%
ERA on Road
2018
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 2.79 1.09 80.2 4 2 3 8.4 2.5 1.2
Since 2018Away 2.64 1.07 58.0 3 1 1 9.6 3.6 0.2
2020Home 2.63 1.06 37.2 2 0 0 6.5 3.1 1.0
2020Away 4.67 1.33 17.1 1 0 0 9.3 2.6 0.5
2019Home 3.07 1.15 41.0 2 2 3 9.7 2.0 1.5
2019Away 1.86 1.01 38.2 2 1 1 9.5 4.2 0.0
2018Home 0.00 0.50 2.0 0 0 0 18.0 0.0 0.0
2018Away 0.00 0.00 2.0 0 0 0 13.5 0.0 0.0
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Stat Review
How does Julio Urias compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.50
 
K/9
7.4
 
BB/9
2.9
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
94.2 mph
 
ERA
3.27
 
WHIP
1.15
 
BABIP
.266
 
GB/FB
0.78
 
Left On Base
76.8%
 
Exit Velocity
80.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.2%
 
Spin Rate
2481 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
17.9%
 
Swinging Strike
12.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Julio Urias
The Z Files: Starting Pitchers -- A Tierful Experience
6 days ago
Todd Zola offers an alternative to a standard tiered approach to drafting, intended to help determine whether rostering an aging ace like Max Scherzer is right for your squad.
DraftKings MLB: World Series Game 4 Breakdown
38 days ago
After impressive showings in Games 1 and 3, Justin Bramlette is loading up on Dodgers hitters for tonight's contest.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday World Series Targets
38 days ago
Though A.J. Pollock Hasn’t homered yet in the postseason, Chris Bennett says he looks like a lock to start with a lefty opposing.
FanDuel MLB: World Series Game 2 Targets
41 days ago
Juan Carlos Blanco checks out the Game 2 slate and thinks Corey Seager's postseason tear makes him an enticing option for a premium roster slot.
MLB Betting: World Series Preview
43 days ago
James Anderson has been on a roll with his recommended playoff bets, and with the Rays and Dodgers set to face off, there are a few World Series bets that stand out as good values.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
The long road back from anterior capsule surgery culminated in Urias making three relief appearances for the Dodgers in September and seven more appearances in the postseason. It's a small sample obviously, but the lefty's fastball velocity was right back up to where it was before the surgery, as was the swing and miss dominance (12:1 K:BB in 10.1 total innings with the big-league team). The Dodgers have made it clear that Urias will build back up as a starter in 2019. While we may be looking at 100 or so major-league innings from Urias in a best-case scenario, the per-inning numbers should be of extremely high quality. Remember that this is a player who was almost universally renowned as the top pitching prospect in the game at one point. He posted a 25% strikeout rate and 3.17 FIP in 77 innings with the Dodgers as a 19-year-old in 2016. Go ahead and stash him in leagues with deep benches.
While he did not break camp with the big club a year ago, it did not take long for Urias to reach the majors, and it appeared he was ready to hold down a spot in the big-league rotation after giving up just two earned runs over his first three starts with the Dodgers. However, he struggled in two starts after that, which may have been the first sign that trouble was on the horizon. The Dodgers sent him back down, and just a few weeks later he started experiencing shoulder soreness, which ultimately required surgery and cut short his 2017 campaign. Urias will be out at least until the summer of 2018 -- and possibly all season -- so he won't have much appeal in single-season leagues. He was once considered the best left-handed pitching prospect in the game, and Urias will not turn 22 until August, so he still holds plenty of long-term value so long as he is able to make a full recovery from his injury.
Urias showed exactly what all the fuss was about in 77 sporadic innings. He was up and down from the minors four times, in and out of the bullpen, and averaged fewer than five innings per start, but the poise and composure Urias showed was in line with that of a seasoned veteran. He struck out a quarter of the batters he faced, deploying a healthy four-pitch mix with each secondary offering getting used at least 13 percent of the time. He was essentially platoon-neutral with his righty OPS actually 15 points lower despite a .376 BABIP. Only four of 10 appearances in the second half were five innings or longer, but it's hard not to be impressed with the 1.99 ERA he had in 40.2 innings. Urias is likely to have another finely-curated workload in 2017, but after 122 frames last year, he could push 150 this time around. Perhaps starting in the bullpen is the best way for the Dodgers to get him to the finish line and have him available for a potential playoff run.
Urias just turned 19 in August, but despite his youth, he's on the cusp of the big leagues after making it all the way to Triple-A last year. Overall between multiple levels, Urias tallied 80.1 innings and posted a 3.81 ERA and excellent 88:22 K:BB. The ERA was severely impacted by his final three outings of the season in which Urias surrendered 15 runs in just 5.1 innings. Prior to that, his ERA sat at 2.28. Likely he was a bit tired down the stretch and off mechanically as a result, so we shouldn't hold his poor finish against him too much. Urias has never topped 90 innings in a season as the Dodgers continue to treat his development with extreme caution, so don't expect much more than 120 innings out of him this season. How many of those innings come at the big league level remains to be determined, but it's probably best to not count on a big league debut until September 2016 at the earliest. We also probably won't see him approaching 200 big league innings until the 2018 season. Urias remains arguably baseball's #1 pitching prospect.
It may sound crazy to expect Urias to dominate against Double-A hitters in 2015 as an 18-year-old, but it’s no more outlandish than the idea of him dominating High-A hitters as a 17-year-old, and that’s exactly what he did last season with Rancho Cucamonga. Urias is one of the most advanced teenage arms of all time. He posted a 2.36 ERA and a 109:37 K:BB ratio in 87.2 innings in 2014, and was extra filthy in the second half, putting up a 1.20 ERA with 62 strikeouts in his final 45 innings of the season. The Mexican lefty already possesses a plus fastball and an unfair curveball that could border on double-plus, and he made strides last season with his changeup, which now looks like a potential third plus offering if he can command it better. To say that an 18-year-old’s floor is a No. 3 starter on a contending team may sound insane, but it’s hard to argue the contrary in Urias’ case. A stellar first half at Double-A in 2015 may force the Dodgers’ hand and earn him a promotion to Triple-A before his 19th birthday.
Urias emerged as one of the organization's top prospects last season, tossing 54.1 innings of 2.48 ERA ball as a 17-year-old for Low-A Great Lakes. It's quite rare to see someone so young have this level of success in full-season ball, so there is reason to be excited about his long-term upside. That said, he is still very young, and at a listed 5-foot-11, 160 pounds, he doesn't exactly have the mound presence of Randy Johnson. The Dodgers are expected to take their time with Urias, so it would be a surprise to see him finish 2014 at a level above High-A.
More Fantasy News
Fans nine over 4.2 innings
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 25, 2020
Urias didn't factor in the decision during the loss to the Rays in Game 4 of the World Series on Saturday. He allowed two runs on four hits with nine strikeouts and one walk over 4.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Receives nod for Game 4
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 21, 2020
Urias will start Game 4 of the World Series against the Rays on Saturday, Jorge Castillo of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throws final three innings for win
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 19, 2020
Urias picked up the win Sunday in Game 7 of the NLCS against Atlanta, throwing three hitless, scoreless innings to close out the game.
ANALYSIS
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Throws five strong innings
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 15, 2020
Urias earned the win in Game 3 of the NLCS on Wednesday, allowing one run on three hits in five innings while striking out five and walking two.
ANALYSIS
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Named Game 3 starter
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 13, 2020
Urias will start Game 3 of the NLCS against Atlanta on Wednesday, Eric Stephen of SBNation.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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