Gunnar Henderson

22-Year-Old ShortstopSS

Baltimore Orioles

2024 Stats

AVG

.250

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

We should always be impressed when 22 year olds hold their own at the major league level considering most players that age are still taking a bus to a small to mid-sized town near you. It is even more impressive when said players do something few others do early in their careers. Henderson was one of five corner infielders with 25 homers, 80 runs and RBIs along with 10 steals joining Walker, Freeman, Bellinger, and Goldschmidt while being five years younger than anyone else in that group. Henderson has been everything as advertised so far at the plate and in the field qualifying at both positions on the left side of the infield. The only fantasy flaw in his current profile is he has been just above average in batting average as his plate discipline is still morphing into what it could be while he continues attempting to figure out lefties who have limited him to a .199 average. Those are flaws you can live with for now while enjoying his continued overall growth Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#30

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 195

DOB 6/29/2001

Born Montgomery, AL

College None

Drafted 2nd Rd 2019 BAL

Clubs fourth homer

SSBaltimore Orioles

April 15, 2024

Henderson went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and a walk in Monday's 7-4 win over the Twins.

ANALYSIS
Henderson logged his fifth multi-hit effort of the season, two of which have come over his last two games. The shortstop has gone 9-for-30 (.300) with two homers and five RBI across his last seven contests, putting his struggles from earlier in May behind him. Overall, he's slashing .250/.319/.516 with four long balls, 11 RBI, 11 runs scored, four stolen bases, two triples and a double through 16 games as Baltimore's leadoff hitter.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+50%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+72%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+43%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+95%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.592	220	22	3	16	6	.197	.286	.306
Since 2022vs Right	.890	606	101	33	95	9	.276	.343	.547
2024vs Left	.569	27	1	0	3	2	.182	.296	.273
2024vs Right	.976	45	10	4	8	2	.286	.333	.643
2023vs Left	.618	167	20	3	11	4	.209	.293	.324
2023vs Right	.885	455	80	25	71	6	.272	.336	.549
2022vs Left	.448	26	1	0	2	0	.130	.231	.217
2022vs Right	.872	106	11	4	16	1	.290	.377	.495
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+8%

OPS on Road

2024

Even Split

2023

+1%

OPS on Road

2022

+62%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.780	424	56	16	49	8	.253	.316	.464
Since 2022Away	.846	402	67	20	62	7	.258	.341	.506
2024Home	.835	43	6	2	8	1	.270	.349	.486
2024Away	.831	29	5	2	3	3	.222	.276	.556
2023Home	.810	308	45	13	35	7	.256	.315	.495
2023Away	.818	314	55	15	47	3	.254	.334	.484
2022Home	.620	73	5	1	6	0	.227	.301	.318
2022Away	1.007	59	7	3	12	1	.300	.407	.600
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Stat Review

How does Gunnar Henderson compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.35

BB Rate

8.3%

K Rate

23.6%

BABIP

.273

ISO

.266

AVG

.250

OBP

.319

SLG

.516

OPS

.835

wOBA

.358

Exit Velocity

95.7 mph

Hard Hit Rate

50.0%

Barrels/PA

6.9%

Expected BA

.275

Expected SLG

.488

Sprint Speed

Ground Ball %

35.4%

Line Drive %

25.0%

Fly Ball %

39.6%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Gunnar Henderson Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Latest Fantasy Rumors

In mix for ROY

SSBaltimore Orioles

June 28, 2023

MLB Pipeline lists Henderson as the No. 2 player in its rookie power rankings.

ANALYSIS
Corbin Carroll tops the rankings, which is difficult to argue given he ranks third in baseball with 3.6 fWAR. Still, Henderson has enjoyed a strong season and has an .805 OPS with 11 home runs, 27 RBI, 38 runs and five steals in 68 games. The 21-year-old scuffled to a .659 OPS in April but has come alive over the past two months with a .272/.340/.537 slash line. Henderson has a good chance to take top honors on the AL side.

See All MLB Rumors

Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

Henderson was shot out of a cannon last season, putting up a .312/.452/.573 slash line and 176 wRC+ with more walks (19.7 BB%) than strikeouts (18.3 K%) as a 20-year-old at Double-A. He subsequently got the bump to Triple-A, and while his production predictably dipped slightly, he still established himself as one of the game's elite prospects and got rewarded with a taste of the majors. Henderson's plus all-fields power is his current top skill for fantasy, and that may always be the case. However, he should also be a good enough hitter to add value in batting average and add significant value in on-base percentage. His 26.4 K% at Triple-A and 25.8 K% in the majors aren't very concerning when considering he won't turn 22 until late June and was well above the league average as a hitter at both stops. The young third baseman stole 23 bases on 27 attempts and has a 91st percentile sprint speed, so he could add double-digit steals over a full season. He primarily hit fifth in the majors and is one of Baltimore's bluechip building blocks, along with Adley Rutschman.

Henderson performed well statistically at the level he was supposed to perform well at (Low-A as a 19-year-old) but he struggled after aggressive assignments to High-A and Double-A. He struck out too much, even when he was having success, logging a 30.9 K% on the season. Henderson uses the whole field well and comfortably projects for plus power -- he hit 17 home runs and 28 doubles in 105 games, primarily against more advanced competition. However, so far, Henderson looks like a better prospect for OBP leagues than AVG leagues, given that he walked or struck out in 43% of his plate appearances last season. He is an average runner with some stiffness and a thicker lower half, so he may end up moving to third base and probably won't be a major threat on the bases, although he does have good instincts. It is noteworthy when a 20-year-old gets the bump to Double-A, and that's likely where Henderson will return this season, but for now, he projects as a three-category contributor in standard roto leagues.

By all accounts, Henderson was the most pleasant surprise this past summer at the Orioles' alternate training site and in the fall instructional league. A 6-foot-3, 195-pound shortstop who bats left-handed, Henderson was selected out of high school with the No. 42 overall pick in 2019 and held his own (103 wRC+) in the Gulf Coast League after signing. There were some mechanical adjustments made last year to Henderson's lower half that allowed him to have success over the summer as the youngest player at the alternate site. He is only an average runner and could slow down before he reaches the majors, so the hope is that he will hit for average and power to make up for the fact that he won't be a major source of stolen bases. He will likely head to Low-A, and if he is as good as advertised, he could get a bump to High-A before his 20th birthday in late June.

Henderson received $2.3 million (equivalent to the slot value of the No. 31 overall pick) when the Orioles selected him with the 42nd pick in 2019. While he was young for his class, not turning 18 until June 29, Henderson's Gulf Coast League showing wasn't particularly impressive. He hit .259/.331/.370 with one home run and two steals on four attempts in 121 PA. Seen as a sum-of-the-parts prospect without a standout tool, he does not stand out as an appealing dynasty-league target, although he should be rostered in deeper leagues. He uses the whole field and could develop above-average power as he fills out his 6-foot-3, 195-pound frame. He is just an average runner, which also limits the fantasy appeal.

More Fantasy News

Adds steal in win

SSBaltimore Orioles

April 14, 2024

Henderson went 2-for-3 with a stolen base, one RBI and one run scored in Sunday's 6-4 win over the Brewers.