David Price
David Price
33-Year-Old PitcherSP
Boston Red Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Price had the ability to opt out of his contract this winter, but he declined to do so after Boston put a ring on it. There were times in the 2018 season where Price was booed by the home crowd, and then there were moments of brilliance, including his showings in the ALCS and World Series where he absolutely dominated the Astros and Dodgers. The pitcher we saw late was vintage Price -- in his final 94 innings, including the postseason, he had a 2.59 ERA and 91:28 K:BB. He doesn’t throw upper 90s any longer, but he can throw three pitches for strikes and his changeup is a weapon when he is up in the count and forces hitters to expand their zones to protect. The run environment of the home park and the AL East as a whole make it very tough for him to lower his ERA, but Blake Snell showed anything is possible. While he not be a staff building block any longer in mixed leagues, Price can still flash ace stuff and should still command heavy interest on draft day. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Agreed to a seven-year, $217 million contract with the Red Sox in December of 2015.
Not opting out of contract
PBoston Red Sox
October 31, 2018
Price will not opt out of his current deal with the Red Sox, which will keep him under contract through the 2022 season, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Price is owed $127 million across the next four years after electing to remain with Boston on the contract he inked in December of 2015. The left-hander reversed the postseason narrative that dogged him throughout his career during these past few weeks, helping the Red Sox win the World Series against the Dodgers with a 1.98 ERA in three appearances over 13.2 innings in the Fall Classic. Price will earn $31 million during the 2019 season and $32 million in the three subsequent campaigns. Across 30 starts this past season, he logged a 3.58 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .246 420 87 16 95 15 4 11
Since 2016vs Right .242 1570 394 108 348 67 6 52
2018vs Left .210 117 27 5 22 4 1 4
2018vs Right .234 605 150 45 129 24 3 21
2017vs Left .206 70 13 4 13 1 0 0
2017vs Right .232 247 63 20 52 13 0 8
2016vs Left .275 233 47 7 60 10 3 7
2016vs Right .253 718 181 43 167 30 3 23
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-16%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-31%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-44%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-6%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.43 1.09 241.2 20 6 0 9.4 2.1 1.1
Since 2016Away 4.07 1.27 238.0 19 13 0 8.6 2.6 1.3
2018Home 2.98 1.08 96.2 9 2 0 8.8 2.7 1.0
2018Away 4.31 1.22 79.1 7 5 0 9.3 2.4 1.6
2017Home 2.32 0.94 31.0 2 1 0 9.6 1.7 0.3
2017Away 4.12 1.37 43.2 4 2 0 8.9 3.7 1.4
2016Home 4.11 1.15 114.0 9 3 0 9.9 1.7 1.3
2016Away 3.88 1.26 116.0 8 6 0 8.0 2.3 1.0
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Stat Review
How does David Price compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.54
 
K/9
9.1
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
92.7 mph
 
ERA
3.58
 
WHIP
1.14
 
BABIP
.283
 
GB/FB
1.09
 
Strand %
74.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring David Price
The Z Files: Drafting a Pitching Staff
5 days ago
Todd Zola walks through how he assembles a fantasy pitching staff and explains why Max Scherzer is the only hurler to get a pre-draft plan named after him.
The Z Files: Historical Top 200
November 10th
Todd Zola takes a look at the end-of-season top-200 performers over the last five years and thinks Charlie Blackmon's being discounted too heavily in early drafts given his track record.
The Z Files: Early Top 15 Pitchers
November 1st
Todd Zola offers his initial list of the top arms heading into 2019, and doesn't think Luis Severino's second half is a good enough reason to keep him out of the top 10.
FanDuel MLB: Game 5 World Series Value Plays
October 28th
Chris Bennett likes Mookie Betts to continue his awesome hitting ways in Game 4, thereby making him a more safe MVP selection.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Picks
October 28th
Mike Barner gives tips for the final Sunday DraftKings contests of the season, leaning heavily on Clayton Kershaw for Game 5 of the World Series.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Elbow soreness surfaced for Price in spring training, and the initial expectation was that he would open the season on the DL and return soon after Opening Day, but Price did not debut in 2017 until the final week of May. Blister and fingernail woes arose in June and July before he returned to the DL with more elbow soreness prior to the non-waiver trade deadline. Price rehabbed back to the 25-man roster and closed 2017 as a reliever, which included two appearances out of the bullpen during the ALDS against Houston. In addition to 6.2 scoreless frames in the postseason, Price fared well overall when he was on the mound in 2017, with a 3.38 ERA and 1.19 WHIP along with a 76:24 K:BB in 74.2 innings. An offseason of rest should afford him a clean bill of health when spring training begins, but Price enters Year 3 of his seven-year deal with Boston having plenty of concern about his ability to shoulder a 200-inning workload again.
Price's final numbers were respectable -- 3.99 ERA and 228 strikeouts in a league-high 230 innings -- but not worth $30 million a year. He struggled with command at times, allowing a career-high 30 homers and his highest WHIP since 2009. When his season started slowly, there was the sense he'd come around. When he didn't, there was talk of reduced fastball velocity, reminding us that Price is entering his 30s and may be losing some mustard. Then his leg kick wasn't as high as it used to be. When the velocity and the mechanics came back, there was always something -- poor command, too many hits, inability to put hitters away, a shaky bullpen -- conspiring against him. He eventually pitched better in the second half and still wound up with a BB/9 below 2.00 for the fourth straight year. A spring arm injury provided a significant scare and will inevitably suppress his cost, but Price is expected to avoid surgery.
The perception was that Price didn’t really get going until he was traded to Toronto. But it’s tough to say that his Detroit performance was at all lagging: 2.53 ERA, 1.11 ERA, 8.5 K/9 and 4.8 K:BB ratio in 146 IP. He was great. He simply went from great to elite after the trade: 2.30 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 10.5 K/9, and 4.8 K:BB ratio in 74 IP. It’s hard to say you were unheralded in a 2nd-place Cy Young season, but it seemed that Price wasn’t given as much attention as the other aces in the league. Maybe it’s the 435 IP of 3.29 ERA in 2013-14 that dinged his image as a fantasy stud, but the skills in those seasons were right in line with those from 2012 and 2015, both of which saw him lead the AL in ERA. He offers a measure of reliability at a position where volatility reigns supreme. Buy, buy, buy!
In the surprise move of the 2014 trade deadline, Price was shipped from Tampa to Detroit. In 23 starts for the Rays, Price went 11-8 with a 3.11 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 189 strikeouts and 23 walks in 170.2 innings. He had a couple of rough starts after joining Detroit, but the results were similar. His 271 strikeouts ranked first in the majors and easily eclipsed his previous career high of 218 strikeouts. Price’s fastball no longer sits in the 95-mph range it did earlier in his career, but he has offset that dip by developing one of the more effective cutters in the league. Price will return to the Tigers for at least one more season before hitting free agency. Leaving the pitcher-friendly confines of Tropicana, not to mention Tampa’s usual stellar defense, could result in a slight dip in Price’s peripheral stats over the course of a full season, but Detroit will provide more run support than the star southpaw is accustomed to seeing, which will lead to plenty of wins. Entering his age-29 season, Price will be the Tigers’ ace and the ace of many fantasy squads.
Coming off the AL Cy Young Award in 2012, expectations could not have been higher for the southpaw Price. While his win total declined from 20 to 10 and he missed over a month of the season with a triceps injury, his overall numbers were about on par with his excellent past few seasons. In just 27 starts, he tied for the lead in the AL with four complete games. Though his strikeout percentage dipped slightly, he took a big step in improving control, with 1.3 BB/9 and a 5.59 K/BB ratio, both tops in the AL. He finished the season with a 10-8 record and 3.33 ERA and he continued his run of dominance over AL East opponents, going 6-3 over 14 starts. Entering the 2014 season at age 28, Price remains one of the top fantasy options on the mound and is the true ace of his pitching staff.
After a small step back in production in 2011, Price flipped the switch in 2012 en route to the AL Cy Young award. Even with a struggling Rays offense, he dominated, going 20-5 with a 2.56 ERA and 205 strikeouts in 31 starts. He also posted a 10-2 record with a 2.51 ERA against AL East opponents, which has been a drain on his value in the past. He has an outstanding fastball that averaged out at 95.5 mph in 2012 and for the first time in his career threw more two-seam than four-seam fastballs. At 27, Price is still just entering the prime years of his career, and he should be drafted as a top starting pitcher in 2013.
Many will point at the loss of seven wins (19 to 12) and the modest raise in ERA (2.72 to 3.49) and think Price had a down season after an outstanding 2010. The truth is overall he improved in many areas when looking past some of the obvious stats. He improved his K/9IP rate slightly while walking almost one fewer batter per 9IP. As far as his skill set he has a lethal, bat-breaking fastball that routinely works in the mid-90s. The fastball is so good he throws it over 70 percent of the time and even when batters know it's coming, they often miss. Price's next best pitch is his slider which has a ton of knee-buckling action and he has a curve and a change-up he can throw in as well. Hope on draft day other owners look at his win and ERA stats and prepare to snag Price once the elite starting pitchers are off the board.
Price turned in one of the league's most dominating pitching performances last season, finishing 19-6 in his second year in the rotation. He had a 2.72 ERA and struck out 188 batters over 208.2 innings. Price finished second to Felix Hernandez in the Cy Young vote, earning four first-place votes. His success last season can be attributed to raising his K/9IP rate by almost one and increasing his average fastball (95.3 mph) by more than two miles per hour. His "out" pitch is a nasty slider that has a lot of late breaking movement, baffling right-handed hitters. Price enters the season as a top-10 pitching option looking to build on last year's success.
Price finished his rookie campaign with mixed results. After starting the season in the minors, he won 10 games for the Rays, but sported a 4.42 ERA and a 1.348 WHIP. On the positive side, he held opposing batters to a .241 average and improved his control as the year went on (1.51 K/BB in the first half, 2.39 in the second half) suggesting an improvement in his numbers should be in line for this year. Despite being a lefty, he was equally effective on both left-handed hitters (.242 BAA) and right-handed batters (.236). Plan on him taking the next step this season once he learns to trust his stuff and cuts down on the walks.
Price had a great season at three levels in the minors for Tampa Bay in 2008, and was a relief star in the postseason; despite that bullpen success, the Rays reiterated over the winter that they had no plans to recast him as a closer. With the trade of Edwin Jackson to Detroit, Price likely begins 2009 as the Rays' fourth starter, barring injury or an awful spring. Given Price's great fastball and his impressive repertoire of other pitches (remember his total dismantling of Jason Varitek in the ninth inning of ALCS Game 7?), he could be very successful with one of baseball's best defensive clubs behind him.
Price had gone 11-0, 2.59 in 17 regular season starts (133 innings) for Vanderbilt before the Rays took him with the first overall pick in the 2007 draft. Given that workload, the Rays did not give Price any game action after he signed in August, although he threw a few bullpens in the minors and also saw Instructional League action. Price has everything you want in a pitching prospect: size, velocity, command, a great body, intelligence and confidence. He'll start 2008 at either High-A or Double-A for the Rays; although they won't push to promote him to the bigs this season, if Price shows he's ready, they won't stop him, either.
More Fantasy News
Set to start Game 5
PBoston Red Sox
October 28, 2018
Price will start Game 5 of the World Series against the Dodgers on Sunday, Pete Abraham of The Boston Globe reports.
ANALYSIS
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Confirmed as Game 2 starter
PBoston Red Sox
October 22, 2018
Price will start the second game of the World Series against the Dodgers on Wednesday, Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.
ANALYSIS
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Wins in Game 5
PBoston Red Sox
October 19, 2018
Price shut out the Astros on three hits with no walks over six innings Thursday as the Red Sox won the pennant with a 4-1 decision in Game 5 of the American League Championship Series. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
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Named Game 5 starter
PBoston Red Sox
October 18, 2018
Price will pitch Game 5 of the ALCS against the Astros on Thursday, Bob Nightengale of USA TODAY Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Gets Game 2 nod
PBoston Red Sox
October 10, 2018
Price will start Game 2 of the ALCS versus Houston on Sunday, Evan Drellich of NBC Sports Boston reports.
ANALYSIS
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