NBA DFS Breakdown: How Will Toronto Counter?

NBA DFS Breakdown: How Will Toronto Counter?

This article is part of our NBA DFS Breakdown series.

Raptors at Bucks (1-0)

RaptorsPosInjuryStatusReturn
Patrick McCawGPersonalGTD5/17/2019
OG AnunobyFAbdomenGTD5/17/2019
BucksPosInjuryStatusReturn
D.J. WilsonFAnkleGTD5/17/2019
Donte DiVincenzoGHeelOFS7/1/2019
Pau GasolCAnkleOFS9/1/2019

Odds

Spread: MIL -6.5, opened -6.5

Money Line: MIL -272, opened -280

Over/Under: 216.0, opened 215.5

Performance Against the Spread

SituationRaptorsBucks
Overall Record43-51-156-32-4
Last 10 Games5-5-09-1-0
Away Underdog10-7-0N/A
Home FavoriteN/A27-16-2

Performance Against the Money Line

SituationRaptorsBucks
Overall Record66-2969-23
Last 10 Games6-49-1
Away Underdog9-8N/A
Home FavoriteN/A37-8

Performance Against the Over/Under

SituationRaptorsBucks
Average +/- vs. O/U-0.53+0.25
Overall49-45-146-45-1
Away24-22-1N/A
HomeN/A23-23-1

Game 1 Stats

Raptors

Bucks

Analysis

This game was played at a pace (100.7) closer to Toronto's regular-season rate (100.2) than Milwaukee's (103.3). However, the Raptors couldn't gain an advantage in any of the Four Factors, suggesting this game shouldn't have been as close as it was. If you take away the first quarter, the Bucks outscored the Raptors 85-66. 

The Raptors' usual plan of attack was in place, with Kawhi Leonard, Pascal Siakam and Kyle Lowry as its usage rate leaders (of players that saw at least 10 minutes). They took a combined 61 shots. Marc Gasol was the only other Raptor to take double-digit shot attempts, but he went an abysmal 2-for-11 from the field. Still, his 11 boards, five assists and two blocks helped boost his fantasy production.

For the Bucks, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez and Nikola Mirotic were the usage leaders. Lopez and Mirotic are surprises. Lopez has been cold from beyond the arc through most of the playoffs, but he ended up finding both his outside and inside game. He went 4-of-11 from three and 8-of-10 from two, while also blocking four shots and collecting 11 rebounds -- the first time he's grabbed that many boards since Oct. 20 of 2017. Mirotic took six threes in 24 minutes, which isn't uncharacteristic, but he got to the line for six free-throws -- something he had done just seven times this season prior to Game 1.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Alex Barutha plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel Username: unclestosh99, DraftKings Username: Roto_Alex.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms. He firmly believes Robert Covington is the most underrated fantasy player of the past decade.
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