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Average Fantasy Points are determined when Tobias Harris was active vs. non-active during the season. Click here to view average fantasy points for a different time period.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
Despite starting just 48-of-82 games during the 2016-17 campaign, Harris ended up leading the Pistons in scoring, averaging 16.1 points per game while shooting a career-high 48.1 percent from the field. Most of that rotation was coach Stan Van Gundy moving Jon Leuer in and out of the starting lineup, while allowing Harris to provide a scoring spark off the bench as the team's sixth man. That didn't matter much for Harris' value, though, as he pretty much saw a full workload whether he was starting or leading the charge with the second unit. Harris' value mostly comes from his scoring, but he did add 5.1 rebounds, 1.7 assists and 1.3 three-pointers across 31.3 minutes. The Pistons made a bunch of moves this offseason, letting Kentavious Caldwell-Pope walk in free agency before trading Marcus Morris to the Celtics in exchange for Avery Bradley. Bradley's addition should cover Caldwell-Pope's role at shooting guard, but Morris' departure should mean a full-time starting gig for Harris. Depending on whether or not Van Gundy wants to go big or small, Harris should start at either small forward or power forward, but that likely won't mean much in terms of changing his Fantasy value. Harris is expected to see a similar workload to the 31.1 minutes he averaged a season ago, which should keep his overall production relatively the same.
Inked to a four-year, $64 million extension with the Magic last July, Harris was viewed as a foundational player in Orlando's rebuild, and was expected to make great strides in 2015-16 while reuniting with coach Scott Skiles, who formerly oversaw Harris when the two were in Milwaukee together. A breakthrough in Orlando didn't materialize, however, with Harris averaging 13.7 points per game -- his lowest figure since joining the Magic three years earlier -- along with 7.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists and 1.0 three-pointer per game. Harris' lack of rim protection further lessened his impact, especially when he was paired alongside the defensively-challenged Nikola Vucevic. In determining that he was no longer a fit in their long-term vision, the Magic decided to deal Harris while his youth and upside still intrigued other teams, ultimately settling on sending him to the Pistons prior to the deadline. The 24-year-old would quickly slide into the starting lineup at the forward spot opposite Marcus Morris and seemed to find his place with his new team as an effective complementary scorer, averaging 16.6 points, 6.2 rebounds, 2.6 assists and 1.2 treys over 33.4 minutes per game in 27 appearances. As his time with the Magic over the past year indicates, an organization can fall in and out of love with Harris quickly, but for now, the Pistons believe they have their power forward of the present and future. Harris is far from a finished product, so with some improvement on the defensive end and from the three-point line, he could eventually develop into a fringe All-Star player.
Last season, Harris rebounded from a poor 2013-14 season marred by a lingering high ankle sprain suffered in training camp to register his best season as a pro. In 35 minutes per contest over a career-high 68 games, Harris averaged 17.1 points, 6.3 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.0 steals, 0.5 blocks, and 1.3 three-pointers per game. He was able to drastically improve his three-point shooting to a career-high 36 percent, a 10-percent surge, by abusing the corners. Harris finished as one of the deadliest post-up scorers, converting 51 percent on such plays. However, he routinely stalled the offense with his methodical play style and regressed on the defensive end, displaying lackluster effort in isolation and team sets. Although his first stint with current Magic coach Scott Skiles in Milwaukee was subject to limited playing time and an eventual trade, both have publicly denied any rift in their working relationship, and that bodes well for Harris. Fresh off signing a four-year, $64 million deal, Harris is expected to resume a similar role this upcoming season.
Tobias Harris will enter his fourth NBA season at the ripe age of 22. Last season, he averaged 14.6 points, 7.0 rebounds, 1.3 assists, 0.7 steals, and 0.4 blocks in 30 minutes per game through 61 games. Harris shot 46 percent from the field on 11.7 attempts per game and 81 percent from the free-throw line on 4.0 attempts per game. A preseason ankle injury derailed his start last season, and a position change - combined with a minutes reduction - ensured reduced production across the board as Harris was unable to live up to his post-trade 27-game output from when he first joined the Magic at the trade deadline in 2012-13. In actuality, his Per-36 minute stats were nearly identical, with a noticeable dip in blocks as he played more minutes at small forward. Harris did see his field goal percentage increase roughly three percent every month last season, coinciding with improved rhythm and his stint as a reserve the final two months of the season. The addition of his cousin Channing Frye mucks up frontcourt minutes, and Harris's inability to knock down three-pointers consistently may slot him into Orlando's sixth man role. Harris shot just 25 percent from beyond the arc last season.
In 27 games with the Magic last season, Harris averaged 17.3 points, 8.5 rebounds, 2.1 assists, 0.9 steals, 1.4 blocks and 1.0 three-pointers in 36 minutes per game. His shooting percentages of .453/.310/.721 and his 1.8 turnovers per game didn't do much harm either. To put those initial numbers into perspective, they are almost identical to Paul Millsap's career season in 2010-11, with Harris having the edge in three-pointers and Millsap having a similar edge in field-goal percentage. The difference of course is that this was Harris's first taste of a legitimate role on an NBA team, while Millsap was in the prime of his career. At 21 years old, it's not unrealistic to expect Harris to improve across the board in 2013-14. Given that he did all this on a bad team late in the season, and lacks a lengthy track record for fantasy excellence, he should be a bargain on draft day, and has a chance to lead all small forwards in rebounding, even though he'll primarily play the four for the Magic. The number one question is whether the playing time will be up at the level it was for him last season after coming to Orlando in the J.J. Redick trade. He certainly did enough to earn big minutes again, but the Magic were without Glen Davis at that point, and they also have capable youngsters in Maurice Harkless and Andrew Nicholson, who like Harris and unlike Davis, are part of the long-term plan. It's possible that Harris is the best player on the team, so he should be safe from a playing time perspective, but that would be the No. 1 argument against a breakout year for Harris.
He did not make much of an impact during his rookie season, but the Bucks have more in store for Harris during the 2012-13 season. Harris improved so much during the offseason that he will enter the current campaign as the Bucks’ starting small forward. Harris will compete for minutes with several players, but averaged about 20 minutes per game during the preseason and figures to play a similar number when the real games start. Harris shouldn’t be counted on for a big fantasy impact, but the 20-year-old is a player on the rise.
Harris was selected 19th overall in this year’s draft after playing just one season, albeit a very good one, at Tennessee. He has good size and can get to the free throw line, but as the youngest player in the league, he’ll likely be more of a project than a contributor in his rookie year.
More Fantasy News
Big night in Friday's win
Harris finished with 19 points (7-16 FG, 1-5 3Pt, 4-4 FT), seven rebounds, four assists, one steal and one block across 35 minutes in the 76ers' win over the Kings on Friday.
Strong shooting line
Harris racked up 16 points (7-16 FG, 2-5 3Pt), eight rebounds, four assists, a steal and a block in 35 minutes Sunday against the Pacers.
Near double-double in loss
Harris finished with 22 points (10-15 FG, 2-4 3Pt) and nine rebounds over 34 minutes in the 76ers' loss to the Rockets on Friday.
Contributes across board in win
Harris accumulated 21 points (8-15 FG, 1-3 3Pt, 4-4 FT), 12 rebounds, five assists, two steals and a block across 34 minutes Tuesday against Orlando.
Scores 20 in loss
Harris totaled 20 points (7-20 FG, 3-11 3Pt, 3-3 FT), nine rebounds and three assists over 44 minutes in the 76er's loss to the Warriors on Saturday.