Jaylen Brown
Jaylen Brown
23-Year-Old ForwardF
Boston Celtics
GTD
Injury Thumb
Est. Return 1/18/2020
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Expectations for Brown before his third NBA season probably should have been tempered with the knowledge that Gordon Hayward and Kyrie Irving were returning to Boston's starting lineup. Brown went from 30.7 minutes per game and 70 starts in 2017-18 to 25.9 minutes per contest and only 25 starts last season. There were other concerns as well. Brown's three-point shooting dipped from 39.5% to 34.4%, and his poor free-throw shooting continued to hover around 66% -- unacceptable for a high-pedigree wing. The 3rd overall pick in 2016 lost his starting gig in late November to Marcus Smart and didn't recover until mid-April. But now the Celtic depth chart is considerably thinner due to the departure of Irving, Al Horford, Marcus Morris, Terry Rozier and Aron Baynes. And Smart will probably see more minutes at back-up point guard. Combine Smart's changing role with Morris' departure, and suddenly Brown has an opportunity to once again see 30 minutes per contest. Whether that's as a starter or leader of the second unit is yet to be determined. Smart's aggressive defense is an excellent complement to the offensive games of Kemba Walker and Jayson Tatum, leaving Brown as possibly the odd man out. The Cal product will be a restricted free agent at the end of this season. More consistent defensive intensity and improved free-throw shooting (maybe unlikely at this stage) would greatly increase the 22-year-old's market value. Brown will turn 23 in late October. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a four-year, $107 million contract extension with the Celtics in October of 2019.
Ruled out Thursday
FBoston Celtics
Thumb
January 16, 2020
Brown (thumb) will not play Thursday against the Bucks, Tom Westerholm of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
Brown sprained his right thumb during Wednesday's loss to the Pistons and will miss at least one game as a result. Per Chris Forsberg of NBC Sports Boston, Brown is expected to undergo additional testing Friday, after which a timetable for his return should come into focus. In his absence, Marcus Smart will likely start and benefit from an uptick in minutes. Brown's next chance to play will come Saturday against Phoenix.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
Brown’s demeanor makes it easy to forget that the number three overall pick in the 2016 draft will only be 22 years old heading into the 2018-19 season. Brown made the leap from inconsistent rookie to much-improved sophomore last season, significantly upping his production in every aspect of his game, except free throw shooting. Heading into his third season, Brown is entrenched as one of Boston's keystones, but his immediate value is difficult to gauge, given the return of Gordon Hayward from injury. Possessions will be harder to come by this season with Hayward and Kyrie Irving, who also missed a chunk of time last season, back in action, but if Brown can continue to defend at an elite level and hit close to 40 percent of his three-pointers, as he did last year, Boston will find a way to get him shots. Even so, how he'll fit within the best collection of talent in the East is a major question mark, particularly after the emergence of Jayson Tatum, who may be the most untouchable player on the league's deepest roster. At the very least, Brown should be able to closely replicate last season's production, perhaps with a slight downturn in scoring if Hayward returns at 100 percent. Whether Brown can maintain his three-point efficiency, as well as improve at the charity stripe, will also be something for Fantasy owners to keep an eye on.
Yes, that was 20-year-old, third overall pick (2016 draft) Jaylen Brown you saw playing a lot of point guard during summer league games in Utah and Las Vegas. Why all the ball handling for a 6’7” top prospect considered a natural small forward? Prior to summer league, the Celtics signed Gordon Hayward and drafted Jayson Tatum, that’s why. In addition, Avery Bradley was sent to Detroit to clear up contract room for Hayward. That means the Celtics are stacked at small forward, but have open minutes at shooting guard. Brown already received 15-plus starts at shooting guard last year when Bradley was injured, so this isn’t really a position switch for Brown. Plus, Coach Brad Stevens has said he doesn’t see traditional positions, instead relying on “a ball handler, a wing or a big”. That may be especially true for Brown, who could occasionally set up plays or square up for corner threes on offense, while trying to stop the likes of LeBron James on defense. The big question is will Brown or Marcus Smart get the start at shooting guard. Smart is atop the depth chart now due to seniority. But Stevens really likes bringing Smart’s defense and post-up offense off the bench, taking advantage of backup opponent mismatches. Brown is also a much better catch-and-shoot option than Smart, which is helpful when fellow starter Kyrie Irving is on the floor. That thinking means Brown has the long-term advantage towards gathering more starts. In addition, the three for one Irving trade with Cleveland weakens Boston’s depth. Whether starting or coming off the bench, expect Brown’s minutes to greatly exceed last year’s 17.0 minutes per game. The ceiling is high for Brown. It will be interesting to see how Stevens balances striving for the Finals while also developing young stars Brown and Tatum.
The Celtics made Brown the No. 3 overall pick in the 2016 draft, adding even more young talent to one of the league's deepest rosters. While Brown's upside may not be as high as that of Ben Simmons or Brandon Ingram, he has the makings of an intriguing swingman at the NBA level. Capable of playing and guarding up to three positions, Brown averaged 14.6 points, 5.4 rebounds and 2.0 assists as a freshman at Cal last season, teaming with fellow five-star freshman Ivan Rabb to lead the Golden Bears to the NCAA Tournament. The 6-foot-7 Brown thrives as an attacker in the open court, but he struggled shooting the ball, converting 43.1 percent of his field goals and only 29.4 percent of his three-point looks. Failure to improve as a jump shooter could limit Brown's effectiveness as a rookie, but he's an all-around talent who should defend at a high enough level to warrant consistent minutes off the bench. Brown is projected to back up Jae Crowder at small forward, and he could also see time at shooting guard, as well as at power forward in small-ball lineups.
More Fantasy News
Listed as questionable
FBoston Celtics
Thumb
January 16, 2020
Brown (thumb) is questionable for Thursday's game against the Bucks, Jared Weiss of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Managing thumb sprain
FBoston Celtics
Thumb
January 15, 2020
Brown suffered a right thumb sprain during Wednesday's loss to the Pistons, Chris Forsberg of NBC Sports Boston reports.
ANALYSIS
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Posts 19 points in win
FBoston Celtics
January 13, 2020
Brown produced 19 points (5-13 FG, 0-1 3Pt, 9-9 FT), three rebounds, three assists and two steals in 30 minutes in Monday's 113-101 win over the Bulls.
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Disappointing effort versus Sixers
FBoston Celtics
January 9, 2020
Brown finished with just six points (2-12 FG, 2-4 3Pt), five rebounds, two assists and a steal in 34 minutes during Thursday's 109-98 loss to the 76ers.
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Leads team in loss
FBoston Celtics
January 6, 2020
Brown tallied 23 points (7-22 FG, 2-10 3Pt, 7-7 FT), 12 boards, and one assist in 33 minutes of a 99-94 loss to the Wizards on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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