This article is part of our College Capper series.
A blind squirrel finds a nut every now and then, and that was me last week. 5-0, so I'm writing with broad shoulders and ready for a seemingly inevitable crash. A lot of road favorites for me this week, which is a concern and feels destined for mediocrity. Can you tell I'm less than confident with these selections? Overall, I just didn't like this slate, so hopefully I've mixed in a few winners.
Georgia Southern –7.5 at UL-Monroe
This opened at minus-9, so that it has moved down both scares me and makes me happy. It's a clear letdown spot for GSU after last week's win over Appalachian State, but Georgia Southern is 7-1 ATS, and in hindsight, Vegas' lines don't appear to have correlated with the state of the team. The Eagles' option offense ranks fourth nationally in rushing, while ULM ranks 102nd in stopping the run. Defensively, the Eagles rank 17th in points allowed at 18.6 after allowing 32.2 a year ago. Time of possession will be key, and I don't see the Warhawks scoring on every possession like they need to to keep up.
Memphis –13 at East Carolina
ECU showed some fight early in the year, but it entered the bye week on a three-game losing streak, dropping each game by at least 22 points. The Pirates averaged only 14.4 points in their five losses, three times less than that. Memphis hasn't won anything of note, but when it wins, it wins big, scoring