This article is part of our College Capper series.
I'll never complain about a winning week, so happily taking last week's 3-2 mark and moving on is fine by me. Picking a couple of bigger lines this week has me nervous, but this season seems to have such a large disparity between top-tier teams and the rest of the pack. Hopefully, those bottom feeders don't rise up for a day.
Syracuse –21 vs. Louisville (Friday)
This game reeks of a trap, but Louisville has shown no interest in competing, and there are reports of Bobby Petrino being out at season's end and a record number of players inquiring on transferring. The Cardinals have failed to cover in four straight – they've covered once all year – allowing at least 38 points in each of those, including at least 56 in three. The Orange have topped 40 points in three consecutive games and are 6-3 ATS. Maybe they are looking ahead to Notre Dame next week, but otherwise, there's no reason they score less than 45, and not much suggests they allow more than 21.
Cincinnati –14 vs. South Florida
I liked this much more at opening, where the line hovered between 10 and 12. But USF has been exposed the last two weeks as a team that was previously undefeated by beating a bunch of creampuffs. USF allowed 98 points in its last two, ranks 124th against the run and is staring down five consecutive losses to close the season with UCF and Temple looming after Cincy.