This article is part of our College Capper series.
Another winning week, but this one comes with complaints. Not LSU/Arkansas-level complaints, but Cincinnati certainly sat on the ball late, costing a cover, and Miami and their two special teams turnovers inside the 20 also cost me with what I consider a fluky loss. Still, I've inched my way to 10 games over .500. That'll work.
SMU +9 vs. Memphis (Friday)
SMU appears to be surging, going 3-1 SU and ATS in their last four. That includes a win against Houston and a narrow loss to Cincinnati, with the defense letting it down last week at UConn. Both teams will put up points, as evident from the 73.5 total, which seems to bode well for the Mustangs. In all of their defeats, they've been held to 23 points or less. They may not win this one, but scoring 30, 40-plus points wouldn't be a surprise. And if they put up that much, Memphis would need 50-plus to cover. No shame in a garbage score late for a backdoor cover.
Navy -5 vs. Tulsa
Quite simply, Navy is overdue for a win. They showed some fight last week at UCF after a shutout loss to Cincinnati, and look to have settled under center with Zach Abbey. We know they'll churn out rushing yards, but a matchup against Tulsa's inviting 120th ranked run defense should have chunk plays coming regularly. That success will lead to clock churning, and keep the defense on the sideline, limiting Tulsa's ability to punch back.