This article is part of our The Stats Room series.
These projections have no team context information. They are bare bones for now. They were created in the image of Marcels in which Tom Tango did baseball players.
As Tom describes it, "... uses as little intelligence as possible. So, that's the allusion to the monkey."
I went with the same approach with just a tad more detail in the weights and regression. The basic procedure was to take a three-year weighted sample, regress the data as needed and then add an aging factor. I did not project playing time, which I'll discuss later.
Compared to the quarterbacks (and running backs, which I've started), the wide receiver stats are not regressed as much. There is more distinction between the good and bad wide receivers. Their job is to just to catch the ball and run. They are less reliant on those around them. That said, here are the categories I projected:
Note: I stayed away from lumping tight ends with wide receivers to see if there are any major differences. I will eventually