The Stats Room: Week 5 QB Projections
The Stats Room: Week 5 QB Projections

This article is part of our The Stats Room series.

When I started down of creating basic projection path, my goal was to create a set of projections using publicly available stats. These would be a set of baseline projection set in which other projection systems can be compared. I reached my limit for possible inputs to quarterbacks. I've checked everything off the list.

First, here are last week's results, which included in-season projected pass attempts.

PLAYERZMANROTOWIREDIFFRESULTSZMAN (PROJ)ROTOWIRE (DIFF)
Aaron Rodgers 22.3 21.6 0.7 23.1 0.8 -1.5
Alex Smith 16.1 16.8 -0.7 27.3 11.2 10.5
Andy Dalton 16.8 15.8 1.0 28.3 11.5 12.5
Ben Roethlisberger 17.0 15.8 1.2 10.5 6.5 5.3
Blake Bortles 16.1 15.5 0.5 11.4 4.7 4.1
Brian Hoyer 15.0 10.6 4.4 7.7 7.3 2.9
Cam Newton 17.2 15.7 1.5 33.0 15.9 17.4
Carson Palmer 18.4 17.3 1.1 16.4 2.0 0.9
Carson Wentz 17.0 16.9 0.1 15.1 1.9 1.8
Case Keenum 15.4 12.4 3.0 8.8 6.7 3.6
Dak Prescott 16.8 18.3 -1.5 22.6 5.8 4.3
Derek Carr 15.9 15.9 0.0 9.7 6.2 6.2
Deshaun Watson 12.2 13.3 -1.1 33.7 21.5 20.5
DeShone Kizer 12.1 10.7 1.5 3.7 8.4 7.0
Drew Brees 18.9 21.2 -2.3 19.0 0.1 2.2
Eli Manning 16.7 15.0 1.8 27.7 11.0 12.7
Jacoby Brissett 12.0 9.1 2.9 9.6 2.4 0.5
Jameis Winston 16.2 16.9 -0.7 26.5 10.3 9.6
Jared Goff 12.0 16.9 -4.9 18.1 6.1 1.2
Jay Cutler 13.1 15.8 -2.7 5.1 8.1 10.7
Joe Flacco 14.9 13.0 1.9 9.4 5.5 3.6
Josh McCown 14.0 9.7 4.3 5.0 9.1
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jeff Zimmerman
Zimmerman writes analytics-focused baseball and football articles for RotoWire. He is a three-time FSWA award winner, including the Football Writer of the Year and Best Football Print Article awards in 2016. The 2017 Tout Wars Mixed Auction champion and 2016 Tout Wars Head-to-Head champ, Zimmerman also contributes to FanGraphs.com, BaseballHQ and Baseball America.
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