Doug Baldwin
Doug Baldwin
30-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Seattle Seahawks
2018 Fantasy Outlook
While the Seahawks offense struggled last season behind an offensive line that should be sued for neglect, Baldwin more or less went about his business. He finished with 13.2 YPC and 8.5 YPT (10th among the league's 27 100-target WR) and scored eight times (T-8th). While his volume, catches and yards dipped slightly, Baldwin set a career high with 18 catches of 20-plus yards and showed he could still make the big play - three catches of 40-plus. At 5-10, 192, and with decent speed (4.48 40), Baldwin's physical gifts don't jump off the page, but he's strong, compact and fearless, runs polished routes and has excellent hands. It's surprising Baldwin scored as much as he did because he was virtually ignored in the red zone - only eight looks there all year. But Jimmy Graham (27 red-zone targets, 16 inside-the-10 targets and 14 inside-the-five targets) is now in Green Bay, so Baldwin could very well go back to his 16-17 red-zone target range from 2015-16. The Seahawks also let Paul Richardson walk this offseason, but signed Brandon Marshall and Jaron Brown. Neither is a serious threat to Baldwin, though Marshall's size makes him a potential red-zone option should he have a last hurrah at age 34. Bottom line, Baldwin is still the clear No. 1 wideout in this offense, has Russell Wilson's trust and little competition either at his position or from the team's below-average tight ends. Baldwin also has a remarkable track record for durability, though he's expected to miss most of training camp and the preseason due to a sore knee. While seemingly minor, the injury will become a real concern if Baldwin isn't practicing by the end of August. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a four-year, $46 million contract with the Seahawks in June of 2016.
Feeling like himself again
WRSeattle Seahawks
November 14, 2018
Baldwin said he finally feels healthy again, 710 ESPN Seattle reports. "It's been a very long time since I felt like myself," Baldwin said Tuesday. "Thursday last week was the first day I woke up in the morning and I didn't feel pain. I've been dealing with this for four months, and I forgot what it felt like to not have pain."
ANALYSIS
Baldwin missed the entire preseason with an unspecified injury of his left knee, then sat out Weeks 2 and 3 while recovering from an MCL sprain in his right knee. The first issue was expected to linger throughout the entire season, but Baldwin apparently turned a corner last week. He was nonetheless held to five catches for 39 yards in Sunday's 36-31 loss to the Rams, extending his touchdown drought to seven games to open the season. The 30-year-old should reach the end zone before long, and his current average of 4.1 targets per game figures to rise by the end of the year. However, Baldwin probably won't return to the 7.3 targets per game he averaged between 2015 and 2017, as Seattle leads the NFL in run play rate (51.1 percent) by a comfortable margin. He gets a middle-of-the-road matchup in Week 11, facing a Green Bay defense that's giving up 7.6 yards per pass attempt overall and 8.1 yards per target on throws to wide receivers this season.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Doug Baldwin's 2018 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
42.9
 
Air Yards Per Snap
0.85
 
% Team Air Yards
15.0%
 
% Team Targets
12.2%
 
Avg Depth of Target
10.3 Yds
 
Catch Rate
79.3%
 
Drop Rate
3.4%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
3.1
 
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Scoring
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Seattle SeahawksSeahawks 2018 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this
% of Team Snaps

512
171
355
193
317
153
223
47
188
0
16
0
3
3
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Packers pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
GB
vs Packers
Thursday, Nov 15th at 8:20PM
Overall QB Rating Against
83.4
 
Cornerbacks
66.3
 
Safeties
110.5
 
Linebackers
88.2
 
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Doug Baldwin's measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
* All metrics are from his Pro Day (not the combine).
Height
5' 10"
 
Weight
192 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.48 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.26 sec
 
Cone Drill
6.56 sec
 
Vertical Jump
37.0 in
 
Broad Jump
123 in
 
Bench Press
6 reps
 
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
While Baldwin didn't score 14 touchdowns again, he did something perhaps more encouraging -- he set career highs in targets, catches and yards. Baldwin's 9.0 YPT placed him eighth in efficiency among the league's 41 100-target receivers, but like Michael Thomas, it was the insane catch rate (75 percent, 2nd), rather than consistent downfield targets that propelled his per-play excellence. Still, Baldwin hauled in five catches of 40-plus (T-8th) and saw 16 red-zone targets, six of which resulted in touchdowns. At 5-10, 192, Baldwin's never going to be a huge presence near the goal line, but the Seahawks are small at receiver -- unless fourth-round rookie Amara Darboh sees a larger-than-expected role -- so don't expect the opportunities to dry up, either. Baldwin has good speed (4.48 40) but excellent quickness, and his route-running, toughness and competitiveness are top notch. He's also Russell Wilson's first look by a decent margin. Tight end Jimmy Graham should have a significant role again if he can stay healthy, and Tyler Lockett should return to provide a home run threat. But the Seahawks' main offensive acquisition was Eddie Lacy whose arrival should have almost no effect on Baldwin's workload. Baldwin is also durable -- he missed two games in 2012 and none since. As such, he profiles as one of the safest WR picks on the board.
There comes a point in your draft when it's time to pick the safe guy with no upside, right? That was more or less than case with Baldwin, who put up a predictable 31-345-2 line through eight games. But the Seahawks opened things up in the second half, and Baldwin, out of nowhere, channeled peak Randy Moss, going 47-724-12 in Weeks 10-17. In fact, prorated over a full season, his second half yields 94-1,448-24. At 5-10, 189, with 4.48 speed, Baldwin won't be mistaken for Moss in real life, and actually Baldwin's league-leading efficiency (10.4 YPT) was based on an ungodly 77-percent catch rate rather than big plays — his 13.7 YPC was solid, but nothing special, and he had only three catches of 40 or more yards. Moreover, despite tying for the league lead with 14 receiving scores, Baldwin saw only 17 red-zone looks and five targets inside the 10. Bottom line, this breakout doesn't seem sustainable even if Seattle lets superstar quarterback Russell Wilson continue to open it up. For 2016, Baldwin should still figure prominently in the team's passing attack as Seattle didn't make any significant additions. A healthy Jimmy Graham and possibly Paul Richardson could take away a few looks, however, and second-year man Tyler Lockett's role could grow.
Baldwin continued in his low-volume-for-a-No. 1, efficient-for-a-possession-receiver way last year, managing 12.5 YPC and 8.4 YPT on 98 looks. At 5-10, 189, Baldwin has decent (4.48 40) speed, excellent quickness and good hands, as well as quarterback Russell Wilson's trust. Baldwin's never been a good bet to score touchdowns, and this year will be no different, especially with giant red-zone target Jimmy Graham now in the fold. Still, Baldwin should lead the Seattle wideouts in targets, assuming we count Graham as a tight end, as Jermaine Kearse is more of a big-play option, and Ricardo Lockette, rookie Tyler Lockett and second-year man Paul Richardson, who's recovering from a January ACL tear, are expected to have bit parts.
Baldwin bounced back from an injury-riddled sophomore year to match his strong rookie numbers, only with even more efficiency (10.7 YPT, 1st among the league’s 69 70-target WR). At 5-10, 189 and without much long speed, Baldwin is mainly a possession receiver, but he has good quickness, reliable hands and a good rapport with Russell Wilson. Percy Harvin's return-to-health could cost him some targets, but Harvin's used all over the field, and Baldwin's role, especially with Golden Tate gone and Sidney Rice retired, is secure.
Coming off a standout rookie campaign, Baldwin had a season to forget in 2012. Injuries took their toll, and he never really became an integral part of the offense. He saw nearly 40 fewer targets than he did as a rookie and finished with only 29 receptions for 366 yards and four touchdowns. Now healthy, Baldwin is expected to regain his place in the passing game. His opportunities also should increase thanks to the injury to Percy Harvin.
Baldwin set a record last year for most receiving yards by an undrafted rookie with 788, and despite playing with Tarvaris Jackson as his quarterback, managed a whopping 9.1 YPT and 15.5 YPC. At 5-10, 189, Baldwin’s not going to see a lot of red-zone work (just five targets there all season), and he lacks the speed to beat defenders deep. What he doesn’t lack is excellent quickness, a knack for finding the open spaces in the zone and good hands. With Sidney Rice and Mike Williams likely to return from injuries, targets could be harder to come by in 2012. But Baldwin typically operated out of the slot last year, a role that wouldn’t be overly compromised by having Seattle’s starters out wide. (There’s some talk at press time about Baldwin moving to an outside flanker position, but in that case he’d be starting there over Williams). Moreover, should Matt Flynn preside over the offense as expected, the entire passing game could get a lift. Make sure to give Baldwin a boost in PPR leagues as well.
More Fantasy News
Snags five passes
WRSeattle Seahawks
November 11, 2018
Baldwin caught all five targets for 39 yards in Sunday's 36-31 loss to the Rams.
ANALYSIS
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Ready for Week 10
WRSeattle Seahawks
November 9, 2018
Baldwin (groin) doesn't have a designation for Sunday's road game versus the Rams, Curtis Crabtree of Sports Radio 950 KJR Seattle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Elevates to limited participant
WRSeattle Seahawks
Groin
November 8, 2018
Baldwin (groin) was a limited practice participant Thursday, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Misses practice with groin injury
WRSeattle Seahawks
Groin
November 7, 2018
Baldwin was held out of Wednesday's practice with a groin injury, Curtis Crabtree of Sports Radio 950 KJR Seattle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Paces squad with 77 receiving yards
WRSeattle Seahawks
November 4, 2018
Baldwin caught all four targets for 77 yards in Sunday's 25-17 loss to the Chargers.
ANALYSIS
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