Mike Evans
Mike Evans
25-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2018 Fantasy Outlook
What an odd career Evans has had so far. His touchdown totals beginning with his rookie year are 12, 3, 12 and 5. He seems to toggle between rising star or pedestrian talent depending on whether the year is odd or even. Dig a little deeper, however, and Evans' 2017 wasn't that different from his 2016, as his poor YPT and average YPC barely changed. It was his volume - 173 targets two years ago and only 136 in 15 games last year - that fell off most. At 6-5, 231, Evans is a monster physically, and his 4.53 40, while below average for a 185-pound wideout, is blazing for someone built like a tight end. One would think Evans would be among the top leaders in red-zone looks, but that's not the case. His 18 targets from that area ranked only ninth, and his nine targets inside the 10 were tied for ninth too. Evans can make plays down the field - he had four catches of 40-plus yards his rookie year, but he's had only five in the three years since, spanning 457 targets. Evans should reprise his role as the team's No. 1 wideout in 2018, and in fact the Bucs extended his contract another five years in March with a whopping $55 million guaranteed. But DeSean Jackson is still around to stretch the field, second-year man Chris Godwin could have a bigger role, and tight ends O.J. Howard and Cameron Brate should also remained involved. In short, while last year's 136 targets are Evans' healthy floor, don't expect his 2016 volume to return any time soon. And don't be surprised if Evans gets off to a slow start, as quarterback Jameis Winston will be suspended for the first three weeks, leaving Ryan Fitzpatrick to fill in. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a five-year, $82.5 million contract with the Buccaneers in March of 2018.
Limited to 51 yards in loss
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
November 11, 2018
Evans caught three of six passes for 51 yards during Sunday's 16-3 loss to Washington.
ANALYSIS
Evans made a couple of highlight-reel catches Sunday, including a falling 23-yard completion in the third quarter that required Evans to go back across his body for the grab. Still, Sunday ended with Evans being held under 60 yards for the fourth time in six games. Although there are two really nice performances sandwiched in between, the star receiver has scored just once after finding the end zone in three straight contests to start the season. Tampa Bay figures to keep pushing the ball downfield, and considering Evans is the team's most-targeted option by a sizable margin, it's probably worth riding it out with him. Next up in Week 11 is an average Giants pass defense giving up 244 yards per game.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Mike Evans' 2018 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
139.4
 
Air Yards Per Snap
2.34
 
% Team Air Yards
32.3%
 
% Team Targets
22.6%
 
Avg Depth of Target
14.9 Yds
 
Catch Rate
59.5%
 
Drop Rate
6.0%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
2.9
 
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Tampa Bay BuccaneersBuccaneers 2018 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this
% of Team Snaps

537
267
454
228
380
200
335
165
34
25
24
0
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Giants pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
NYG
@ Giants
Sunday, Nov 18th at 1:00PM
Overall QB Rating Against
81.5
 
Cornerbacks
83.9
 
Safeties
79.1
 
Linebackers
79.7
 
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Mike Evans' measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 5"
 
Weight
231 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.53 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.26 sec
 
Cone Drill
7.08 sec
 
Vertical Jump
37.0 in
 
Bench Press
12 reps
 
Hand Length
9.63 in
 
Arm Length
35.13 in
 
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
Very often, volume is king. It was the case for DeAndre Hopkins in 2015, Pierre Garcon in 2013 and Evans last year. Despite a pedestrian 13.8 YPC and 7.6 YPT (28th among the league's 41 100-target WR), Evans finished fifth in catches (96), fourth in yards (1,321) and tied for second in TDs (12) en route to the No. 1 non-PPR season among all WR. That's what happens when you lead the league in targets (173). At 6-5, 231 pounds and with 4.53 speed, Evans is a freak, not quite in the Julio Jones/Calvin Johnson mode, but more peak Brandon Marshall. Evans didn't make many downfield catches last year (15 for 20-plus yards, only one of 40 or more), and despite his size was only tied for 11th with 19 red-zone looks. But he converted seven of those for scores, something about which we shouldn't be surprised given the physical mismatch he presents. The Bucs added plenty of talent to the receiving corps for 2017 with deep threat DeSean Jackson, third-rounder Chris Godwin and first-round pick tight end O.J. Howard to pair with the already competent Cameron Brate. Moreover, tailback Charles Sims should be ready for the start of training camp, siphoning off a few more targets per game. This is likely to cost Evans opportunities, but also upgrade his efficiency now that the defense has to pay attention to other players.
On the surface, other than a dramatic drop in TDs, it looks like Evans largely duplicated his stellar rookie season. He actually averaged more YPC (16.3, 3rd) and nearly as many YPT (8.1, down from 8.5). Evans saw more red-zone looks in 2015, more targets inside the 10 and inside the five. Moreover, he played with Jameis Winston (7.6 YPA), a decided upgrade over the Josh McCown/Mike Glennon combo. So why did Evans catch only three TD passes on 148 targets after scoring 12 on 123 as a rookie? For starters, he led the league with 10 penalties and 11 drops, though six drops came in one game. Second, Winston scored six rushing TDs, depriving his receivers of some easy end-zone targets (TB's 22 pass TDs ranked 22nd). Third, as Evans admitted, his chemistry with Winston was "a little bit off", a problem the two sought to rectify this offseason. At 6-5, 231, with good speed (4.53 40) for his size, Evans is too big for opposing defensive backs and too fast for linebackers. Even in a down year, he still managed 21 catches of 20-plus yards (4th), two more than Odell Beckham and DeAndre Hopkins. Vincent Jackson is still around, but at 33 he's a complementary option. While Austin Seferian-Jenkins could steal some RZ targets, Evans should reprise his role as No. 1 WR on a team with little depth at the position.
While Sammy Watkins had more buzz heading into the draft, and Odell Beckham Jr. stole the show during the regular season, Evans' rookie year was remarkable in its own right. For starters, he became only the eighth rookie wideout to eclipse 1,000 yards since the start of the millennium (though he was one of three to do it last year) and scored 12 TDs despite missing a game. And Evans accomplished these feats, along with a robust 8.5 YPT (14th), as a 20-year old while playing for the league's sixth-worst passing offense (6.8 YPA). At 6-5, 231, Evans is an enormous target, and he has enough speed (4.53 40) to get deep, especially given how little separation he needs to make plays over smaller defensive backs. While 32-year-old Vincent Jackson is still around, Jackson's at best option 1B, and more likely the clear second fiddle as Evans grows into a bigger role with new offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter and new quarterback Jameis Winston on board. Koetter's hire is especially encouraging, as he presided over one of the NFL's most pass-happy attacks the last three years in Atlanta, and Winston is widely considered the most NFL-ready QB prospect in this year's draft.
While Sammy Watkins has the flash, it’s Evans who fits the profile of the modern No. 1 receiver in today’s NFL. He might have to wait a year or two with Vincent Jackson around, but there’s little doubt about his physical skills. At 6-5, 231, and running a 4.53 40 at the NFL Combine, Evans is enormous and fast enough to do damage down the field given his size. (His best unofficial time was actually 4.48). Think a younger Brandon Marshall with a little more height. He’ll make an ideal red-zone target, so even as second fiddle to Jackson, he should be a source of touchdowns from the outset. The quality of the offense remains to be seen, but it’s likely to improve over last year’s with new offensive coordinator Mike Tedford brought in from Cal and new quarterback Josh McCown.
More Fantasy News
Cleared to face Washington
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
November 9, 2018
Evans (knee) was a full practice participant Friday and doesn't have a designation on the final injury report for Sunday's game against Washington, Greg Auman of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Returns to practice in limited fashion
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
Knee
November 8, 2018
Evans (knee) turned in a limited practice Thursday, Greg Auman of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Returns to practice
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
Knee
November 8, 2018
Evans (knee) returned to practice Thursday, Rick Stroud of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Held out from practice
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
Knee
November 7, 2018
Evans (knee) didn't practice Wednesday, Greg Auman of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Woefully inefficient in Week 9 loss
WRTampa Bay Buccaneers
November 4, 2018
Evans brought in one of 10 targets for 16 yards in the Buccaneers' 42-28 loss to the Panthers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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